Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.029469 0.031784 0.034206 0.036933 0.039922 0.043101 0.046745
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.025696 0.029006 0.032660 0.037009 0.042061 0.047766 0.054726
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.022758 0.026565 0.030941 0.036369 0.042963 0.050762 0.060761
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.020726 0.024854 0.029751 0.036039 0.043964 0.053709 0.066737
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.019095 0.023419 0.028692 0.035660 0.044725 0.056255 0.072249
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.017552 0.021941 0.027418 0.034839 0.044761 0.057758 0.076385
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.016725 0.021291 0.027115 0.035197 0.046295 0.061258 0.083406
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.015849 0.020503 0.026557 0.035140 0.047212 0.063921 0.089397
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.015258 0.020046 0.026390 0.035574 0.048798 0.067575 0.097058
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.014458 0.019250 0.025705 0.035220 0.049204 0.069520 0.102265
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.013801 0.018609 0.025188 0.035054 0.049845 0.071814 0.108142
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.013161 0.017954 0.024608 0.034750 0.050238 0.073726 0.113520
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.012691 0.017523 0.024331 0.034882 0.051309 0.076771 0.121032
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.012080 0.016858 0.023678 0.034407 0.051402 0.078265 0.126061
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.011452 0.016137 0.022904 0.033697 0.051067 0.079025 0.129862
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.010973 0.015613 0.022398 0.033368 0.051310 0.080732 0.135439
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.010523 0.015111 0.021897 0.033015 0.051483 0.082312 0.140890
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.010005 0.014484 0.021174 0.032264 0.050939 0.082614 0.143973
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.009781 0.014295 0.021121 0.032591 0.052226 0.086175 0.153501
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.009482 0.013977 0.020848 0.032538 0.052851 0.088586 0.160997
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.009301 0.013836 0.020847 0.032935 0.054276 0.092531 0.171879
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.008974 0.013450 0.020434 0.032611 0.054394 0.094061 0.177966
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.008702 0.013141 0.020133 0.032460 0.054811 0.096168 0.185428